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Inspection and appraisal: cigarettes, water and rare goods

Probably Stolen's published checks are visual inspection for cigarettes, testing and filtering for water, and appraisal for rare goods so you do not overpay. Here is what is confirmed — and what is not.

Last verified:Applies to:Demo / 1.02 min read
Fact tags:OfficialPlayer-testedUnverified
#Inspection#Appraisal#Cigarettes#Water#Rare goodsRead in Chinese →

Launch price

¥49.5¥5510% off at launch

US $17.99$19.99

On this page

Three goods, three checks

The developer groups inspection into three checks:

GoodsPublished checkPurpose
CigarettesVisual inspectionTell real from fake
WaterTesting and filteringConfirm the water is safe
Rare goodsAppraisalAvoid overpaying
Cigarettes need a visual check, water needs testing and filtering, and rare goods should be appraised so you do not overpay.Official

In the published daily loop, inspecting goods comes before quoting a price. In other words: check first, then decide what to offer.

Cigarettes: visual inspection

The published check for cigarettes is a visual inspection — you look at the goods rather than using a device.

Probably Stolen official screenshot: cigarette authenticity check
Official screenshot: cigarette authenticity check

The developer has not published the exact criteria for that visual check. If a guide lists lettering, fonts, logos, colours or security seals as checks, check whether it cites an official source.

Water: testing and filtering

The developer summarises water handling in two steps: testing and filtering.

Water needs testing and filtering.Official

Testing is for confirming the water; filtering is for processing it. What items each step requires, and what the test results look like, has not been explained.

Not published yet

"How do I purify water?" can currently only be answered up to "testing + filtering". The finer steps, recipes and numbers are not in the published information.

Rare goods: appraise before you quote

The published check for rare goods is an appraisal, and the stated purpose is direct: avoid overpayingOfficial.

That places appraisal before your offer. If you quote without appraising, the risk is yours. The developer has not published appraisal costs, success rates or differences by rarity.

Passing off inferior goods

The game lets you sell inferior goods as the real thing. The developer confirms that doing so carries a riskOfficial, but not what the risk is: getting caught on the spot, a reputation hit, or a later consequence are all unknown.

Do not treat guesses as facts

Claims that passing off fakes is "always caught" or "has no consequence at all" currently have no official source behind them.

FAQ

How do I spot counterfeits in Probably Stolen?

Use the published checks: visual inspection for cigarettes, testing and filtering for water, and appraisal for rare goods. Different goods use different checks.

How do I purify water?

The developer says water is tested and filtered. The specific tests, filtering steps and required items have not been published.

Why appraise rare goods first?

The developer states that appraisal is how you avoid overpaying — confirming value before quoting a price.

What happens if I pass off inferior goods?

The developer confirms it carries a risk but has not described the consequences.

Launch price

¥49.5¥5510% off at launch

US $17.99$19.99

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